According to the statement issued by the Indian government in its first advance estimate it indicates that it is likely to produce 90.6 million tonnes rice in 2015-16 from summer-sown crop – a tad lower than last year – on account of the first back-to-back drought in three decades. Further, the country’s food grain production from summer-sown crops is likely to drop 1.8 percent from a year ago to 124.05 million tonnes due to a steep fall in corn production. The estimate will get revised as the government updates sowing data.
It has been revealed that the rains were 16 per cent below average so far over the four-month monsoon season that ends this month due to an El Nino weather pattern. This changed weather pattern can lead to a scorching weather across Asia and east Africa but heavy rains and floods in South America. This will follow about 12 per cent shortfall in rains in 2014, making this year only the fourth time India has seen back-to-back drought years in more than a century.